Why are we bad at predicting future happiness?

Why are we bad at predicting future happiness?

Scientists have explained why humans are notoriously bad at predicting their future happiness.

Jordi Quoidbach from the University of Liege, Belgium, suggested that part of the reason for these mispredictions lies in failing to recognize the key role played by one’s own personality when determining future emotional reactions.

Quoidbach and his partner, Elizabeth Dunn, from the University of British Columbia, found that our natural sunny or negative dispositions might be a more powerful predictor of future happiness than any specific event.

They also discovered that most of us ignore our own personalities when we think about what lies ahead and thus miscalculate our future feelings.

They call this phenomenon “personality neglect,” which they tested in connection with the 2008 U.S. presidential election…


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